McIlroy disappointed with a T-32 in Phoenix and T-29 in Los Angeles, but his advanced metrics tell a different story. Tway got through the cut at both full-field elevated events, finishing top 40 in both. Pereira enters the week with three straight top-30 finishes including a top 20 at the Valero Texas Open. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our betting panel has cashed three straight outright winnersand now we have a consensus bet. Must be nice. Yes, hes first in SG/total. Betting Preview for the Euro Tour: A quick hitter article for some Euro Tour action provided by both Ben Rasa and Jason Rouslin. You probably guessed that one of them was Tiger Woods, who did it an absurd six separate times, including two four-peats. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Weather Report: Conditions to Affect Play? Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+375 = Top 20) His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. Eric Cole ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). Prizepicks + Stokastic Promo Get a Free Month! At $9,900, this is the most expensive Chris Kirk has been on DraftKings since the 2021 Zurich Classic ($10,100)a team event. 7 and sank one of the most beautiful aces youll ever see. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. NBA Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings and Underdog, DraftKings Showdown Single Round Projections. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Russell Knox (+750, DraftKings) Knox comes into this event ranked 18th in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week so its not surprising to see that he already has three top-10 finishes to his name here at El Camaleon. Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Shane Lowry ($10,400 DraftKings | $11,800 FanDuel). Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Honda Classic. McClure has also locked in a slew of other prop bets for the the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, including a long shot listed at 100-1 to win it all. As a U.K.-based expert, Alldricks insight into European Tour regulars and low priced, low owned plays has provided an invaluable edge for readers when it comes to DFS GPPs. He just missed a massive 130-1 score last week when Hayden Buckley finished second at the Sony Open. Shriners: Sungjae Im. We are only five starts removed from his win at the RSM Classic, and he earned a top 10 at the Honda Classic last year despite losing four strokes with the flatstick. Those who can avoid disaster and grind their way through 72 holes will give themselves a chance to hoist the trophy on Sunday night. The 2023 Genesis Invitational. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Preview: Can Sungjae Im Bounce Back as Top Stud of the Field? Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. He gained more than 14 strokes from tee-to-green in those eight rounds but lost over eight strokes with his putter. The PGA Tour is headed to TPC Louisiana for the Zurich Classic, a team event where the format of play rotates between best ball and alternate shot. The pair are former roommates and like the Gooch/Homa pair, will have great chemistry on the course. Thats the recipe for his two top 10s and no finish worse than 22nd in three starts. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Keep it social. The next biggest story to watch is Viktor Hovland's quest for a three-peat in this event, something that has not been done on the PGA Tour since Steve Stricker won three consecutive John Deere Classics between 2009 and 2011. Recent Form Cheatsheet: The entire fields current form, going back as far as 10 weeks, and synopsis provided by Jason Rousiln. Stars are everywhere on the leaderboard heading into the weekend at Bay Hill. Mayo won the 2020 FSWA Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year awards, along with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Best Sports Betting Analyst award in 2020. He is followed by Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) as top contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Lee +19000J.J. , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. His biggest question mark is his putter, but hes gained strokes on the greens in three of his past four starts. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for , where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for , the Score and GolfWRX. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Hes combining solid approach play with a hot putter to throw his name into the mix more consistently. McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. Well do the same taking a couple from each article and summing it up for you! Rileys constant is as a stripe show on approach, so our speculation relies on a hot putter to disrupt. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Thats a tough scene. There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. The Approach: A picks and preview article from Nolan Kelly that uses some of @Awesemos projection for the week! TPC Scottsdale 3. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. ET, with world No. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Mayo (@ThePME) was named 2021 Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writing Association, while also being a finalist for Podcast of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year. Henley has an 18 percent top-10 rate over the past year, and only the putting is really holding him back from success this week. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Fitzpatrick has been candid about dealing with a neck injury over the course of the past few weeks. Max Homa and Talor Gooch. Luke List ($7,300 DraftKings | $9,000 FanDuel). A strong field will tee off Thursday beginning at 11:30 a.m. Hes played at Bay Hill each of the last three years and hasnt finished worse than T-20. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Homa and Gooch are great friends off the golf course, and that can help throughout the week. Get Golf picks One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. World No. His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. Hes lost a combined 12.9 strokes/putting over his past two weight starts. 1, who has gone eighth-11th in his last two starts, seemingly out of nowhere. Hes played this event once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Expect regression in that category against a much deeper field. Day, a 12-time PGA Tour winner, has three straight top-10 finishes and has yet to finish worse than 18th place in 2023. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. 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Spaun odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Aaron Wise odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Thriston Lawrence odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Phoenix Suns at Chicago Bulls odds, picks and predictions, Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions, New York Knicks at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions, Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions, Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions, New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions, Portland Trail Blazers at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. His best finish was a seventh-place finish in 2021, so he should be brimming with good vibes here. NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. Jon Rahm Now Heavy Favorite at Arnold Palmer Invitational After Strong First Round, Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Bettor in For Wild Pay Day if Scottie Scheffler Repeats, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds & Trends: Bettors Loving Will Zalatoris, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshot Bets: Keith Mitchell Scorching Hot, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Picks: It May Be Collin Morikawa Time. The 2023 calendar year hasnt started the way Wise would have liked, and hell enter this week coming off back-to-back missed cuts. Poston. The PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own,be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure. Our experts, as always, are in search of a little more value down the odds board, however. With that in mind, here are our 13 best bets ( odds via DraftKings) to hoist that gold trophy. He gained 8.42 strokes putting at the Honda Classic. Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. Over the past 100 rounds, hes the fourth-best tee-to-green player in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Jordan Spieth ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Hes had the best short game of anyone in this field over the past 50 rounds, so that should no longer be a concern. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-zurich-classic-odds-field-pga-tour-bets-picks/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. It will play long at more than 7,400 yards, and thick rough off the fairways and around the greens will provide a true test. One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine. On the other hand, Scheffler's putting can be a weakness, but he can make up for it with every other part of his game. The putting woes continued for Spieth, who lost three strokes to the field in just two rounds at Riviera before missing the cut. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to enlist him as a guest writer, which evolved into him writing the weekly Under The Radar article. It just doesnt need to. Affiliate Program Refer Friends & Earn! World No. And for a guy whos been batting about .500 for four seasons, its notable that hes 7-for-11 this season with a T25 at Torrey Pines and a T29 at Riviera. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Caddie: Aaron Wise (+220, Bet365) Wise has gone 10th, MC, second and 15th in his last four trips to Mayakoba, and hes coming off his third top-15 finish in his last four starts. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, World Wide Technology Championship picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? Kramer Hickok ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Play with trusted, licensed operators. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for Hes getting by with the putter, and thats likely not enough this week against a top-heavy field. He gained strokes across the board and has shown significant improvements with the putter in recent months. Mayo: Matt Kuchar (50-1, DraftKings) BACK to the scene of the crime from Kuch. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. Matt Fitzpatrick ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. Like the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, the annual trip to New Orleans is a great change of pace. Heading into this week's tournament, the 35-year-old ranks first on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained (1.957), 11th in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.307), 21st in strokes gained on approach (0.677), and 26th in strokes gained putting (0.650). Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Though he was never really at the top on Sunday with a chance to win, he played great in the runner-up finish and that should translate to another chance to win here. He also was among the turnarounds at the Honda a T29, easily his best effort in five starts in 2023. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. He tends to thrive when conditions get more difficult, which will be expected at PGA National this week. Per stats guru Justin Ray, only two other players have pulled off the rare accomplishment in the past 40 years on tour. His last two starts have resulted in a T-11 and T-8, so clearly something is brewing for Day right now. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. Hopefully he can ride his sterling swing-season form, pick up another win and make things right with El Tucan. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. How about two idiots talking PGA Tour, golf betting, and everything in-between? Hes played well at Bay Hill the last two years, but he was in much better lead-in form. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! Morikawa is fresh off a T-6 at Riviera where he gained 8.25 strokes from tee-to-green, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). McDonald also has been on the money on his matchup plays and cashed in huge on Brendan Steele (80-1) as the first-round leader at the Zozo Championship. In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay. Golf course Bay Hill Club and Lodge | Par 72 | 7,466 yards Course comparisons (according to Hennessey, Golf Digest: Aaron Rai (-125) over Justin Lower (Bet365) Lower has had a solid start to the fall, but Rai is more proven long-term and over the past 24 rounds has better strokes gained/off the tee and approach numbers than Lower. Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Highlighted by The Bear Trap, one of the most difficult three-hole stretches on tour, the winning score of this event is routinely in single digits under-par. Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. Hes working on a four-year streak of top-10 finishes, including a runner-up in 2019. 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Harris English ($8,400 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Ryan Palmer has a new partner this time around after playing with Jon Rahm for the past few seasons (and Jordan Spieth before him). RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Thatll be very useful around Torrey Pines this week. Our experts are torn. 2023 Honda Classic Odds & Trends: Shane Lowry & Sunjae Im Lead the Pack. The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). Like golf? The second-place finish is the Europeans fourth top-12 in his last six events. While Im happy for him, Im not buying it just yet. WebPGA Tour betting predictions, tips, analysis and best picks surrounding PGA Tour events, including outright, PGA Tour prop bets and much more. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Those serve as his only two top-15 finishes over his past 14 starts. And which sleepers could set you up for a potentially huge payday? Matchup Results from the Bermuda Championship: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Rodgers (-125) over S.H. Overall, 23 of the games best 25 players will tee it up come Thursday. After debuting with a T17 in 2017, he piggybacked it with a T7 in 2018 and a T10 in 2019. Strokes gained/approach is also incredibly valuableagain, only six other courses were more correlated to success. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Rickie Fowler Time! Bay Hill rewards great approach players. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Hes gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, something he hasnt done since the fall of 2017 when he was ranked inside the top 10 in the world. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Targets: Is Rory McIlroy Too Chalky? Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. I like the consistency of Rai here in a matchup as a slight favorite. One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. Take me to the League of Legends category page! How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? Lowry did get back on track last week in Los Angeles, finishing T-14. Shane Lowry (T-35, T-3, T-3), 3. These odds, in a tournament where we typically see a few Bezuidenhout is one of the few players in the field who teed it up at the Honda Classic last week, finishing T-42. The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. . MLB Power Rankings + Sports Betting Model, 2022 Best Ball Rankings/Projections for Underdog, DraftKings, FFPC and Yahoo. Hes been much improved with the flatstick, gaining strokes in nine of 14 starts. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at Not surprisingly, the Mississippian ranked third in the field by average 14 greens in regulation per round. 7:52 am ET, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine, You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 American Express odds, field, expert picks, bets, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. Before this week's PGA Tour event, McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 The American Express. Follow the Twilight 9 Podcast: Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts. PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) Hes now giving strokes back to the field on the putting surfaces in seven of his past nine measured starts. Xander Schauffele Betting Odds Remain for Tournament of Champions Despite WD Reports. , I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) Justin Thomas ($9,600 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? His outright plays feature three major longshots who come in at more than 60-1. Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. His short game has been tidy, gaining strokes around-the-green in five of his last seven starts while gaining strokes with his putter in seven straight. Parlay Calculator, Copyright USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire 2023. If you or someone you know wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1.
golf digest picks: this weeksince 1927.
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